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Saturday, May 28, 2011

The Next Frontier of Growth: Machine-to-Machine Communications

Wireless networks have reached saturation levels in most industrialized markets in terms of penetration by individuals. Developing countries have seen widespread deployment of wireless technologies, and growth rates are skyrocketing. In many parts of the world, wireless usage has surpassed that of landline networks. Nevertheless, the real opportunity in the use of wireless technologies is not in person-to-person interaction, but in machine-to-machine (M2M) communication.  Consider the following statement by TIA:
Numbers so mind-blowingly big that it makes the M2M space impossible to ignore: There are ten times more machines than humans.  Here's the math: 7 Billion people on mother earth x 10 = 70 Billion machines!  Each would benefit from communicating with another machine. 
A number of developments have converged to give fillip to M2M. The most significant of these are the widespread penetration of wireless networks and the availability of high speeds over these networks. Wireless networks obviate the need to deploy wiring making it easier and cost effective to implement M2M solutions.
Estimates of the growth of M2M vary.  Information Consulting publisher partners, IDATE and Mind Commerce, have published in-depth reports that offer their perspectives on this market. According to TIA, there will be close to 300 million M2M connections by 2015. With M2M communications solutions, the ARPU is relatively modest but that is compensated by exceedingly low churn rates.
Information Consulting believes that the market for cellular M2M services is in its incipience and is, in most respects, still being defined. There are two sets of players competing for a share of this burgeoning industry, namely:
  • Service providers who use their own network (network operators) or lease capacity on operator networks
  • Applications providers who have developed solutions to address specific market segments
One of the first forays in the M2M space was with in-vehicle communications systems such as GM’s OnStar. More recent impetus to this market has come from the emergence of eReaders, such as Kindle. Point-of-sale systems have also evolved that are helping drive the M2M market. The foregoing systems, nevertheless, have required some form of human intervention.
Information Consulting sees the future of M2M communications in the proliferation of intelligent gadgets that interact without any human input. Evolving solutions include the remote monitoring of electric meters and vending machines. As the number of network-enabled appliances grows, there will be an inexorable push towards a world where interconnected devices will be the norm.